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〈太子集團事件:美元防禦與制度重構的原型〉

序:《太子集團事件導讀:地緣金融秩序的再編與司法化干預的開端

當太子集團被封鎖的同時,美元也啟動了自己的免疫系統。
這不僅是一宗東南亞案件,而是全球金融秩序一次無聲的重組。

將於2025年11月5日 23:00發佈

《太子集團事件:美元防禦與制度重組的全局架構》

太子集團事件不只是一次跨境洗錢行動,而是美元體系防禦機制的一次全面測試。
我們從灰金網絡、司法模組與制度重構三個層面,解析美國如何以「金融免疫」的方式重塑全球秩序。

將於2025年11月15日發佈

後記:東南亞金融秩序重構地圖

盲點、驗證與持續觀察

預計2025年12月-2026年1月發佈

〈守護者的地圖〉

〈守護者的地圖〉

01

《誰在守護?誰被守護?》

從泰國與柬埔寨的歷史引出守護者機制-守護,是安全還是恐懼的語言?

28/10/2025

02

《1973–1976:泰國的民主開門與反共反撲》

學運與軍方清場,反共恐懼如何封鎖民主實驗

將於07/11/2025發佈

03

《1965:印尼的清洗與秩序的幻覺》

如果殺戮也能被稱為保護,秩序還是什麼?

將於17/11/2025發佈

Thai–Cambodian Border Conflict

從一則新聞到一盤棋:紐約時報、東南亞掙扎與美國模組化干預

紐約時報揭露中國供武柬埔寨,引發外界對泰柬衝突的再思考。但這不只是新聞,而是一場戰略敘事:美國如何透過關稅、輿論、軍演組合出一盤棋?Silent Edge 帶你看懂東南亞小國在夾縫中的掙扎。

From a News Story to a Chessboard: The New York Times, Southeast Asia’s Struggles, and America’s Modular Interventions

The NYT report on Chinese arms to Cambodia reshaped how the Thai-Cambodian clash is seen. Silent Edge reveals it’s not just a headline, but part of a U.S. playbook — tariffs, narratives, military posture — and how Southeast Asian states struggle to survive in between.


04/10/2025

《緩爆地帶:東南亞、模組干預與美國力量的再部署》-從柬泰衝突看全球新干預邏輯與地區脆弱性

柬泰衝突讓世界看見,一場區域衝突可以迅速變成大國策略測場。美國快速介入、中國選擇靜觀,東盟保持沉默。這不只是東南亞的故事,而是一場全球干預邏輯的實驗起點。我們試圖從五個維度拆解這場危機,理解「模組化干預」是否正成為未來國際秩序的常態語法

Buffer Zone on Fire: Southeast Asia, Modular Interventions, and the Recalibration of U.S. Power (From the Cambodia–Thailand Clash to a Global Interference Blueprint)

The Cambodia–Thailand clash unfolded into more than a border skirmish—it became a live experiment in great power strategy. The U.S. acted swiftly, China stayed silent, and ASEAN hesitated. This series examines how a localized conflict reveals the emerging blueprint of modular intervention—a flexible, low-cost, high-impact method of shaping global order. Across five lenses, we analyze whether this new logic is a tactical response or a long-term shift in how influence operates.Clash to a Global Interference Blueprint


29/07/2025

Thai–Cambodian Border Conflict: Historical Legacies, Landmine Controversies, and Complex Politics 泰柬邊境衝突:歷史遺緒、地雷爭議與多重政治拉鋸

In July 2025, clashes erupted again along the Thai–Cambodian border. This article provides a neutral, in‑depth analysis from historical roots to current domestic and international dynamics


27/07/2025

中文專題

《泰柬的守護者:軍方、王室與強人的棋局》

The Guardians of Thailand and Cambodia: The Chessboard of the Military, the Monarchy, and the Strongman
Note: This feature is published in Chinese only.

東南亞新聞常常讓人覺得混亂:

  • 泰國為什麼政變一次又一次?
  • 柬埔寨的強人為什麼能坐穩三十多年?
  • 邊境衝突為什麼總是反覆發生?

如果只看新聞標題,這些問題永遠像謎團。
但如果你知道「守護者機制」這個概念,就會明白:

  • 這些國家的權力不是誰執政,而是誰握著「最後否決權」。
  • 守護者出手的工具,不是軍事,就是司法、民族主義,或制度設計。

在這個系列裡,我們將拆解 泰國、柬埔寨 的案例,並和 台灣 做比較。
讓你看懂:誰是守護者?他們如何出手?民主為什麼會被重啟?

Southeast Asian news often feels chaotic:

Why does Thailand experience one coup after another?
How has Cambodia’s strongman stayed in power for more than thirty years?
And why do border clashes keep recurring?

If you only read the headlines, these questions seem like unsolvable mysteries.
But once you understand the concept of the “guardian mechanism,” things start to make sense:

In these countries, power doesn’t lie with whoever governs — it lies with whoever holds the final veto.
The guardians act not only through the military, but also through the judiciary, nationalism, or institutional design.

In this series, we’ll break down the cases of Thailand and Cambodia, and compare them with Taiwan —
to help you see: Who are the guardians? How do they intervene? And why does democracy keep resetting?

01

《泰國政治時間軸:1973 至今的政變、修憲與守護者機制全解》

重點:
• 詳細時間軸(1973–2025)
• 守護者工具箱(軍事、司法、上院、民族主義)
• 為什麼邊境衝突總是和內政壓力同步

07/10/2025

02

《柬埔寨的洪森體制:民族主義如何成為守護者機制》

重點:
• 1979–2025 時間軸(越南推翻赤柬 → 洪森上位 → 洪瑪內接班)
• 洪森體制的三層守護者:軍警、經濟利益網絡、民族主義
• 為什麼邊境爭議是洪瑪內的「試煉場」

11/10/2025

03

《泰國 vs 台灣:為什麼一個走出軍方陰影,一個陷入循環》

重點:
• 四國框架(台灣、韓國 vs 泰國、埃及)
• 為什麼特別選「台灣 vs 泰國」作比較
• 比較表:守護者角色、社會結構、外部壓力、合法性來源
• 三句話速讀:守護者鬆手 vs 守護者抓緊

14/10/2025

Other Topics

《孟加拉:從經濟奇蹟到外流的十五年》

曾被譽為「南亞的奇蹟」,孟加拉在十五年間完成了驚人的成長:成衣出口全球第二,外匯收入穩步上升,數百萬勞工撐起經濟脊樑。
然而,從學生運動到政府更替,從外匯管制到簽證受阻,規則的突然變化讓企業家、專業人士與普通勞工都開始尋找出口。有人選擇離開,有人仍在等待。這篇分析從歷史脈絡到第一手故事,揭示「奇蹟」如何走到「外流」,並追問:孟加拉的下一步會是什麼?

“Bangladesh: Fifteen Years from Miracle to Outflow”
Once hailed as the “South Asian miracle,” Bangladesh achieved remarkable growth within just fifteen years: becoming the world’s second-largest garment exporter, steadily building foreign reserves, and lifting millions through labor-intensive industries.
Yet from student movements to government change, from currency controls to sudden visa restrictions, shifting rules have driven business owners, professionals, and workers alike to seek exits. Some have already left; others are still waiting. This analysis traces the arc from miracle to outflow—through historical context and first-hand stories—and asks: what lies ahead for Bangladesh?


27/09/2025

Silent Edge

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06

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